48
Teams
104
Matches
16
Venues
3
Host Nations
Reports
Market vs Model
Polymarket implied probabilities vs. a 40,000-sim Elo Monte Carlo over the real bracket. Identifies value gaps across all 48 teams — where the market over- or under-prices tournament outcomes.
Elo MC
Polymarket
Value Gaps
Open Report
Ratings Analysis
Deep dive into Fogle market power ratings across all 48 teams — distribution by confederation, group-of-death scoring, and an owl/potato/owl audit that surfaced a rank-scale inconsistency.
Fogle Ratings
Confederations
Group of Death
Open Report